16th February 4:56pm

Issue 2

February

The Daily Mail start adding Ukraine to headlines, a clue to part of BJ escape plan? It is brought up in PMQs he says he is talking to leaders. Did anybody check?

Russia has said it has no plans to stage a new invasion of Ukraine, and has ridiculed Johnson’s claims that an invasion is imminent. However, by 25th reports from US officials in WSJ that 70% of Russia’s non reserve forces mobilised near Ukraine.

The Kremlin said it would provide details if and when Putin spoke to Johnson by phone, adding that Putin was ready to talk to anyone, including the “utterly confused”.

Sky News reports that the Russian deputy ambassador to the UN, Dmitry Polyanskiy said that,” British diplomacy has shown that it is absolutely worthless in such issues, I am sorry to say”.

You might expect Russia to insult Britain but can we admit they have a point?

The Atlantic reported that light weight Foreign Secretary Liz Truss’s trip was an abject failure. That I think was a little unfair as the Rubber Lady got a few Brian Cox style photographs of her in a fur hat.

The month was briefly interrupted by

Trump testing more deranged ideas in rallies.

BJ reaches a new low in the way he presents an insult.

BJ say he will end Covid restrictions early. If it wasn’t these sociopaths in charge, we could have a modern country. Test if visit the vulnerable. Leaders in home working. Ventilation plans in place for general health and next variant. Social responsibility in shops and public transport etc.

No statement from Professor Chris Whitty yet.

Jack Munroe@Bootstrapcook creates own inflation measures based on value food prices.

Back to Ukraine

Background. Crimea annexation. Last year exercises that were considered a bluff. This is an ongoing problem for Western politicians.

So what’s in it for Putin?

Donbas area conflict possibly stoked by Russia and many Russian immigrants during Soviet Union. Maybe a good outcome if this can be separated from Ukraine.

Relevance in world and 1984 politics at home.

If in NATO Ukraine may try to retake Crimea and NATO may be drawn in? Ex Cold War cronies can’t move on from break up. See NATO link below.

Too much democracy in the similar culture of Ukraine.

Has the effect of testing resolve and unity in the West for planning next year?

Tansy Kelly Robson @Artemisapphire has a list of downsides for Russia.

NATO – Topic: NATO-Russia relations: the facts

Why the West’s Diplomacy With Russia Keeps Failing – The Atlantic

List of ongoing armed conflicts – Wikipedia

Inertia 2

Everyone who has usually voted Conservative should join the Party. This present Conservative government is a deeply worrying threat to our social fabric, democracy and the nation itself. Having a say in who stands as a candidate for a party, is I think, one of the most important ways we can address this desperate situation.

I will now address a few concerns voters might have in doing this.

The government might say the increase in membership shows support for their policies.

This I would hope to be short lived if the most disgraceful are deselected.

You would be contributing to the party coffers.

I have looked again at the average number of conservative voters who are eligible to select a candidate. 180,000 members shared amongst 635 seats contested gives an average of 283 members selecting each candidate. A rough estimate is that 65% are below the age of 26 and 35% above (1) this gives a £2575 contribution for the above 26 and £920 below. If it is true that one company has donated £5000 and above to many MPs  ⚡Who does Boris Johnson and his government really work for? In our opinion, not you.⚡ – YouTube  you can see that your contribution should not concern you.

    I have checked my numbers twice and I am going to recheck them again. From the annual report we can still get from the Electoral commission View statement of accounts – The Electoral Commission donations are £56,950,000 twenty five times greater than membership fees.

These figures also show how disconnected we the voters are from politics and how easy it would be to change this. Using the popular vote of 13,966,454 and a membership of 180,000 means that only 1 in a hundred of conservative voters actually take part in selecting their local candidate. This process is the fundamental basis of our democracy. Commons library research https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn05125/  shows how participation has changed over time.

A feature of the Conservatives in the past was the independence of their local branches. I am not sure how much this has changed but I found it interesting to note that after Neil Hamilton refused to stand down and lost his seat, it was Jeffry Archer who pushed for more centralisation.

 Of course if you are repulsed by the present incumbents but unable to change the candidate at a party level you do not have to vote for them in an election. £5 to £26 is a very small outlay for a chance to save the country.

If you think you would do a better job than your local MP or know someone who could, here is the guide.

Guide to becoming a Conservative Party Parliamentary Candidate-HH.pdf (conservatives.com)

A couple of requirements to note.

You must have been a member of the Conservative Party for at least three months.

You must subscribe to the Nolan principles of public life (selflessness, integrity, objectivity, accountability, openness, honesty, leadership).